Phase 1 QA Register
Research date 2026-09-15. This register exists because a platform that claims to publish confidence must publish its own. Every weakness below is disclosed, not hidden.
Corpus
| Artefact | Count |
|---|---|
| Industry dossiers | 25 |
| Trend records | 500 |
| Entity records | 994 |
| Registered sources | 603 |
| Evidence items | 2580 |
| Citations | 1896 |
| Contradictions recorded | 201 |
| Cross-sector links derived | 2150 |
Verification status
| Status | n | share |
|---|---|---|
| triangulated | 347 | 69% |
| single source | 146 | 29% |
| unverified | 7 | 1% |
Citation tiers. A (primary) 1037 (55%) · B (reputable secondary) 793 (42%) · C (aggregator/vendor) 66 (3%). No Tier-C source is the sole support for any claim.
Per-sector quality and re-run priority
Sectors 13–25 were researched after the session's 200-call web-search pool was exhausted. Their Tier-A verification is sound — in several cases higher than average, because agents fell back to primary sources — but source discovery was narrow, so trends that only search would have surfaced are likely missing. Priority = ranking weight × (1 − triangulation rate) × speed-of-change multiplier.
| Pri | # | Sector | Triangulated | Evidence Ø | Tier A | Tier C | Contra | Low-conf | Discovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 19 | Social platforms, creator economy & consum | 40% | 0.56 | 67% | 4% | 5 | 3 | degraded |
| 40 | 25 | Publishing, music & rights-based IP | 50% | 0.65 | 94% | 0% | 4 | 6 | degraded |
| 38 | 17 | Education, edtech & workforce development | 50% | 0.58 | 83% | 6% | 9 | 4 | degraded |
| 37 | 12 | Robotics & physical automation | 60% | 0.58 | 58% | 2% | 5 | 3 | degraded |
| 33 | 22 | Media: film, television & video | 60% | 0.67 | 75% | 0% | 3 | 2 | degraded |
| 33 | 10 | Cybersecurity & digital trust | 65% | 0.64 | 35% | 12% | 8 | 3 | full |
| 32 | 4 | AI foundation models & compute infrastruct | 70% | 0.70 | 52% | 1% | 10 | 3 | full |
| 31 | 5 | Enterprise software & SaaS | 70% | 0.69 | 44% | 5% | 5 | 2 | full |
| 29 | 21 | Fashion, beauty & personal care | 65% | 0.61 | 100% | 0% | 4 | 2 | degraded |
| 29 | 24 | Gaming, virtual worlds & immersive media | 65% | 0.63 | 40% | 13% | 9 | 4 | degraded |
| 28 | 1 | Semiconductors, advanced hardware & quantu | 75% | 0.67 | 40% | 6% | 6 | 2 | full |
| 28 | 13 | Retail & e-commerce | 65% | 0.69 | 65% | 1% | 8 | 1 | full |
| 27 | 14 | Real estate, architecture & construction | 65% | 0.65 | 28% | 0% | 9 | 3 | degraded |
| 26 | 18 | Travel, tourism & hospitality | 65% | 0.71 | 88% | 0% | 8 | 3 | degraded |
| 26 | 20 | Food, beverage & agriculture | 65% | 0.76 | 99% | 0% | 8 | 1 | degraded |
| 25 | 23 | Climate tech, sustainability & carbon mark | 70% | 0.63 | 81% | 0% | 9 | 0 | degraded |
| 22 | 15 | Advertising, marketing & brand | 75% | 0.64 | 30% | 3% | 11 | 2 | degraded |
| 22 | 2 | Healthcare, biotech & life sciences | 80% | 0.69 | 28% | 0% | 6 | 0 | full |
| 20 | 8 | Automotive, mobility & transportation | 80% | 0.69 | 42% | 5% | 11 | 0 | full |
| 20 | 9 | Startups, venture capital & private market | 80% | 0.69 | 20% | 1% | 10 | 1 | full |
| 19 | 11 | Aerospace, defense & space | 80% | 0.67 | 33% | 6% | 18 | 1 | full |
| 18 | 16 | Crypto & digital assets | 80% | 0.73 | 66% | 1% | 10 | 0 | degraded |
| 15 | 7 | Industrial manufacturing, supply chain & l | 85% | 0.79 | 36% | 8% | 10 | 0 | full |
| 13 | 6 | Finance, fintech & payments | 85% | 0.69 | 42% | 9% | 7 | 2 | full |
| 11 | 3 | Energy & power systems | 90% | 0.79 | 39% | 1% | 8 | 1 | full |
Aggregate effect of degraded discovery. Full-search sectors: 77% triangulated, evidence factor 0.70. Degraded sectors: 62% triangulated, evidence factor 0.65. The gap is real but modest — roughly 15 percentage points of triangulation. No cross-sector conclusion in the analysis documents rests on degraded sectors alone.
Data repairs applied (2026-09-15)
Full audit trail in analysis/normalisation-log.json. Nothing was silently corrected.
| Defect | Action |
|---|---|
trend_type unconstrained — 73 distinct values |
Normalised to a 34-term controlled vocabulary; zero out-of-vocabulary remain |
stage stored twice, disagreeing on 98 records |
Top-level stage made authoritative; tags.market_stage synced |
One claim_type: survey outside the six-type ladder |
Remapped to estimate; original preserved in claim_type_original |
| Geography codes inconsistent — 65 distinct incl. UK/GB and Global/GLOBAL splits | Normalised to 59 |
One dangling related_trends reference |
Removed |
Zero cross-sector links across 1,535 related_trends |
10 cross-sector themes derived; 2,150 cross-boundary links created |
| 56 duplicate entity names across 136 records | Flagged, not merged — cross-sector duplicates are legitimate; merging is an editorial decision |
Known limitations
- Six canonical trend-type terms have zero instances —
design,education,funding,privacy,startups,venture_capital. Three are industry labels rather than kinds of change; the vocabulary needs pruning in Phase 2. - Four source types are entirely unpopulated —
patent,search_trends,social,community. Zero social and search is defensible. Zero patent is not: it is the longest-lead detection signal, free and bulk-downloadable. This is the single largest gap in the detection surface. - Source registry reliability is graded 450 high / 152 medium / 1 low. That describes a filtered registry, not the information environment. Phase 2 must not misread it as evidence that sources are generally reliable.
strategic_importanceis under-discriminating (mean 4.01, sd 0.82) — analysts used it least carefully. Rubric needs tightening.companies[]andproducts[]are free text, matching entity records only ~16% of the time. Entity resolution is required before the graph features in the product spec can work.- Non-English and non-US coverage is uneven. Several sectors recorded it as an explicit gap; 41% of registered sources are US-only.
- The Sept 16 2026 FOMC decision and the Google ad-tech remedies opinion both fall one day after the research date and are unresolved throughout.
Structural gaps the research itself established
These are findings, not failures — the absence is the information:
- No frontier AI lab discloses a gross margin (sector 01)
- No operator anywhere publishes robotaxi unit economics (sector 10)
- No independent audited DPI benchmark exists for venture capital (sector 11)
- No US system operator publishes metered data-centre-only load (sector 05)
- No agentic-commerce transaction volume is published by any participant (sector 12)
- No AI music licence has disclosed any terms (sector 24)
- No public audited CPM index exists for any advertising channel (sector 16)
- No methodologically transparent count of North American data-centre capacity exists — CBRE and JLL differ ~9x (sector 18)
- Source artifact
- 90-qa-register.md
- Corpus date
- 15 September 2026
- Prepared for this site
- 16 September 2026
- Site publication
- 18 September 2026
- Verification
- Inherited; not fully rechecked